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August 1, 2008
If Not Colombia, Then Where is the Cocaine Coming From?
by Garry Leech
Colombia’s National Police Chief Oscar Naranjo recently announced
that his country’s production of cocaine has dropped by more
than half and that it is now responsible for only 54 percent of
global production. Speaking at an anti-drug summit in Cartagena,
Naranjo’s comments not only constitute the latest misinformation
being distributed by the government of President Alvaro Uribe, but
they are also ludicrous. Naranjo claims that Colombia was responsible
for 90 percent of the world’s cocaine production when President
Uribe came to office in 2002. This is a figure that analysts have
regularly referred to with regard to the distribution of cocaine
production. But if Naranjo’s claim that Colombia is now only
responsible for 54 percent of production is true, then it begs the
question: Where is the rest of the cocaine being produced?
The price, purity and availability of cocaine has not shifted dramatically
over the past decade and, considering that cocaine use in North
America and Europe has not diminished during this period, one can
safely assume that production levels have remained fairly constant.
As a result, if Colombia is now responsible for only 54 percent
of production, then there is an awful lot of cocaine being produced
in other nations. Given that there is no evidence of significant
amounts of coca crops being cultivated outside the Andean region,
and it is doubtful that the cocaine is being produced very far from
the plant that provides its core ingredient, then there are only
a few countries that could be alternative producers.
Most of the coca cultivated in the Andean region—and in the
world—is grown in Colombia, Bolivia and Peru. While there
is little evidence of coca cultivation in neighboring countries
such as Ecuador, Brazil and Venezuela, they are close enough to
coca growing regions to be viable cocaine production centers. Consequently,
if Naranjo’s claims are correct, then 46 percent of the world’s
cocaine production is likely occurring in one or more of these countries.
And yet, there is no evidence of any significant cocaine production
in any of these countries. Even the US State Department’s
annual narcotics report, while criticizing unfriendly governments
in Venezuela, Bolivia and Ecuador for a lack of cooperation in the
war on drugs, does not accuse any of these countries of being major
producers of cocaine.
It is clear that Naranjo’s claim is little more than the
latest misinformation being disseminated by the Uribe administration
to keep the international spotlight away from the government’s
problems and to improve Colombia’s international image. By
keeping the international community focused on imaginary drug war
successes and the FARC’s human rights abuses (i.e. kidnapping),
the Uribe administration can avoid being scrutinized for its links
to right-wing death squads—currently being revealed in the
para-politics scandal—and its own human rights abuses, including
record numbers of rural Colombians being forcibly displaced by the
military’s overly-aggressive counter-insurgency operations.
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